The easiest approach to finding out how likely you are to enter Canada as a permanent resident is to look at how the Express Entry pool works. Recent data shows a big change: the overall pool is getting smaller, but the competition at the top is getting stronger at an unprecedented rate. To make a good immigration plan, you need to understand this difference. As one of the best certified immigration consultants in Abu Dhabi, Navigate Migrate, breaks down the latest numbers and outlines what you need to do to stay competitive.
The most interesting thing about the November 2025 data is how the Express Entry system is both shrinking and becoming more focused at the same time. In a little over two weeks, the number of candidates fell by 2,547. The biggest drops were in the mid-range scores of 411–430, which lost more than 3,200 profiles.
But this overall shrinkage hides an important truth about competition. While scores in the middle range went down, scores in the high range went up by a lot:
In essence, as mid-tier profiles expire, they are being replaced by a surge of high-scoring candidates. This fundamental shift means a competitive CRS score is no longer a mere advantage—it is the baseline requirement for success.
The percentile data is probably the easiest way to see how competitive you are as of November 9, 2025:
This distribution underscores a harsh reality: nearly 90% of the pool is competing for a diminishing number of ITAs in general draws. This makes the strategies promoted by expert Canadian skilled immigration consultants in Abu Dhabi—like securing a provincial nomination or mastering a second language—more valuable than ever.
The recent flurry of Express Entry draws provides critical context for these pool shifts. Between October 11 and November 11, IRCC conducted six distinct draws, issuing 10,861 Invitations to Apply (ITAs) and clearly signaling its current priorities.
The data shows that the Express Entry system is rewarding profiles that are targeted and have high scores. The random chance for candidates in the middle is going away. At Navigate Migrate, we turn this competitive pressure into a clear path to your success.
How can we assist you?
Don’t just watch the pool; get up and above it. The changes in the Express Entry pool are a call to action. It’s not enough to just be in the pool anymore; you also want to be in the top tiers.
Are you ready to come up with a winning plan? Get in touch with Navigate Migrate, your trusted certified immigration consultants in Abu Dhabi, for a full profile evaluation. We can help you make a profile that doesn’t just compete but wins.